Unexpected By Design Part 2: Steve Jobs and the iPod

Yesterday we showed you how differently the founders of Snapchat, Facebook, Youtube, and others envisioned their websites being used. Well here’s another example of what I’m beginning to call “the founder’s phenomina”.

When Steve Jobs first got onto the stage of Walt Mossberg’s first annual D Tech conference in 2003, he was fresh off of the success of the iPod and the redesigned iMac. Mossberg (who we interviewed here) asked him why the iPod couldn’t have Wifi, and why we couldn’t purchase music directly on it. Jobs went on to tell Mossberg that the iPod was meant as a satellite device to the all-mighty PC because PCs had big processors, and hard drives, and screens that made them ideal for buying music and vital for running larger programs. He went on to say that the iPod’s screen was too small to sell music on.

Only four years later Jobs released a device called the iPhone (ever heard of it?) with Wifi, and a built-in music player. Even some of the greatest anticipators of trends can’t predict how their products will evolve. He also had no plans to make a tablet (a device that he would predict 7 years later at the same conference would dominate the market). He said “We think the tablet’s going to fail”. He referred to the eReader concept as a niche market too exclusive to make money. Shall I keep going? “We [don't] think we’ll be successful in the cell phone business because of the carriers so…we built software to sync your palm to your computer”. Remember palms? Look it up youngsters. Four years later Apple owned the cell phone market. “Watching videos on a tiny little screen is not that much fun”. Two years later Apple introduced the video ipod, with the same screen size. Check out the video for yourself.

 

Happy New Years- Our Tech Predictions for 2013 are HERE!

Happy 2013! All of the horrible stuff that happened in 2012 is behind us, the world is still here, and we’re going to see some great tech in 2013. We wrote about what we expected  for 2013 over the summer, but I’ll sum up the basics below, and then leave the links below to the full posts.

 

  • Classrooms to the Cloud- Education Goes Digital.
  • Apple Takes over Television- Apple will release their second attempt at a TV/ Mac. (Here’s their first attempt at a TV).
  • Smartphones get thinner and faster
  • High Definition Screens on laptops grow in popularity
  • Wifi (nearly) everywhere.
  • Bed Replaces the Cinema, Phone replaces the wallet

Sound general? These posts have the details of the predictions. See our full list of predictions and details for Apple here, and tech in our world here.

 

And I leave you with this celebration of our year…

An Interview With Technology’s “Kingmaker”- Walter Mossberg

Technology moves so fast, and no one has done a better job of explaining every new technology to consumers than Walter Mossberg, founder of the popular technology blog AllthingsD, and creator of the personal technology column in The Wall Street Journal. Mossberg has interviewed everyone from Bill Gates, to Mark Zuckerberg, to Steve Jobs. Mossberg’s writing has brought him numerous awards and given him a reputation as one of the most influential people in technology today. We spoke with Walt on how he got his start, his beliefs on what make a company great, and his predictions for the future. He also offered a few tips for improving your writing.

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One of the few instances in which Mossberg Doesn’t Have a Device in His Hands

      • Q: You started your career with politics and foreign affairs, and you wrote about that for a while. What ignited your passion for technology, and how did you come to the decision to switch to writing about technology?
      • A: I was a computer hobbyist and realized that it was all too complicated and that most columns on the topic were written in geek speak, even though the digital world was about to explode to include many millions more non-techies. So I decided there would be value in writing a plain-English column that championed these folks, and explained and reviewed digital products in plain English, from their point of view.
      • Q: When did you start writing? When did you realize it was what you wanted to do for a living?
      • A: I started doing journalism in high school, and decided it was the career for me by the 12th grade.
      • Q: How has the web most affected journalism? What role will newspapers like the Journal play in the future of news delivery?
      • A: The Web has added many more fine voices and choices to journalism, and also, sadly, many more that are biased, uninformed and unethical. But, on balance, while it’s been a real challenge for the economics of good journalism, it has been a very good thing. People are beginning to realize that, just as in the print or broadcast world, they have to learn who to trust and that quality and standards count. That’s why the Journal and other quality news organizations, in digital form, have a bright future, even if their print versions decline.
      • Q: What is the first computer you ever used?
      • A: A Timex Sinclair 1000. It had 2KB of RAM and I bought for, I believe, $99.
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A Timex Sinclair 1000

    • Q: What does your home and work setup look like? What gadgets do you use the most in your daily life?
    • A: My home and work offices are cluttered with many devices. I use both Windows and Mac daily, and own multiple machines on both platforms. I also own and use an iPhone, iPad, Android phone and tablet, and a Microsoft Surface.
    • Q: You’re known for calling it like it is, and being honest on everything no matter what the circumstance. If Meg Whitman or Thorsten Heins asked you right now, “How can I turn around HP, or Research in Motion?” what would you say to them?
    • A: Well, I don’t give advice to businesses. But, in general, I believe that, in any company or profession or product, you need to focus sharply on your audience, not every audience; it’s better to offer a few great products or services, than many mediocre ones; and you need to find a way to keep up with new technologies and trends and yet keep things as simple as possible, always clinging to your standards.
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Walt With the late Steve Jobs

  • Q: iOS and Android have taken a huge lead in the mobile sector. Microsoft is trying to get a piece of that with Windows Phone 8, and Rim is  trying to come back with BB10? Is there room for a third or fourth major mobile operating system? Which of the four do you think has the most potential?
  • A: I don’t try and predict the future or the marketplace. I evaluate products and platforms based on testing. But I believe that there’s always room for compelling platforms and products. I don’t write off companies’ chances in advance.
  • Q: What does the technology world look like in 2020? Do you think current companies like Apple and Google Will Still be on top? What devices will every American Household have? What role do you think 3D printing will play in future households?
  • A: I have no idea. Tech moves so fast that 2020 is too far out to predict. I wouldn’t have predicted the success of the iPad or the Kindle years before they appeared.
  • Q: Finally, Do you have any tips for people who want to make their writing as captivating as yours?
  • A: Be honest. Be clear. Know who your reader is and never condescend to him or her.

There you have it. Walt is absolutely right that a few years ago no one imagined the Kindle or the iPad, but here it is today selling off the shelves. His success comes from being candid, and maintaining his reputation by not making stupid predictions. It’s hard to predict specifically, but Walt did lay out a very good guideline for judging the success of a company, and that’s what I’d like to leave you with today:

“I believe that, in any company or profession or product, you need to focus sharply on your audience, not every audience; it’s better to offer a few great products or services, than many mediocre ones; and you need to find a way to keep up with new technologies and trends and yet keep things as simple as possible, always clinging to your standards”.

Tim Cook Unveils Future in First TV Interview (With Video)

In a fantastic interview with NBC’s Brian Williams (one of my favorite reporters, and someone whom I have spoke with personally) Tim Cook spoke about the future of Apple, and his, and Apple’s philosophy.

Fun fact: According to Brian, Cook has been CEO for the introduction of three iPads, two iPhones, and three macs. That shocked me. Cook also spoke about his love of the ’60s animated Sitcom, the Jetsons from which much of our current technology was inspired by. If you remember back, I wrote here about my trip to the pharmacy, and how I realized how much of a Jetson-esque future we were living in, but according to Tim Cook, there is much more to come (including some sort of revolutionized TV which Cook said apple was looking at with “extreme interest”(although Apple already released a combo Mac/TV).

Also of note is Apple’s plan to manufacture a line of macbooks in the good ol’ USA starting next yer. If you recall, Lenovo started doing that a few months ago (read about that here). When Apple was founded, the machines were manufactured by hand from a California garage. Later on, Steve Jobs personally obsessed over a Mac factory in the USA. It was the failure of that factory that led to Apple moving their manufacturing overseas (which has obviously caused some problems. We also wrote a free PDF on the horrible labor issues going on at Apple’s Foxconn manufacturing plants. Macs are a far smaller business than iOS devices, but it’s a good start.

Here are his exact words (in the form of clips from the show.

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